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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
40.5% ( -0.07) | 23.43% ( -0.09) | 36.06% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 63.49% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% ( 0.47) | 38.18% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% ( 0.5) | 60.45% ( -0.5) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.17) | 19.26% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.27) | 50.98% ( -0.27) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% ( 0.3) | 21.36% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% ( 0.46) | 54.33% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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