Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Augsburg2 - 1Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Augsburg
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Augsburg 0-0 Mainz 05
With both sides searching for their first league win of the season, we can see Augsburg and Mainz playing out a tense and cagey goalless stalemate at the WWK Arena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
37.53% ( 0.06) | 25.4% ( 0.03) | 37.07% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
