MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:50:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Augsburg logo

Heidenheim
2 - 5
Augsburg

Kleindienst (17'), Beste (18')
Kleindienst (31'), Beck (51'), Siersleben (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Tietz (29'), Pedersen (41'), Demirovic (42'), Uduokhai (64'), Rexhbecaj (88' pen.)
Pedersen (45+2'), Bauer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Heidenheim have been impressive at home this season, with only a late collapse against Hoffenheim costing them a 100% record after three games, whereas Augsburg have failed to win any of their last 16 away trips in the Bundesliga. Thorup clearly has a major job on his hands to turn things around in Bavaria, but it may time him some time to do so. As such, we can envisage a narrow home victory for the newly promoted side on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
HeidenheimDrawAugsburg
57.88% (0.401 0.4) 21.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 20.92% (-0.392 -0.39)
Both teams to score 59.25% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54% (-0.477 -0.48)38.45% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (-0.505 -0.51)60.74% (0.502 0.5)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)13.09% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (-0.07 -0.07)39.71% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.633 -0.63)31.83% (0.629 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.729 -0.73)68.26% (0.726 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 57.88%
    Augsburg 20.92%
    Draw 21.2%
HeidenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.4%
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 57.88%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 20.92%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Augsburg

Heidenheim
72.7%
Draw
20.5%
Augsburg
6.8%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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