Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Heidenheim
Although Frankfurt will understandably head into this match as favourites, the loss of Randal Kolo Muani to Paris Saint-Germain at the end of the summer transfer window has clearly hit them hard, and their results may suffer until the France forward is belatedly replaced in January.
Heidenheim will be fresher and more confident having had no European involvements in midweek and beaten Union Berlin last time out, and we can envisage them returning home with another point to add to their growing tally.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.71% . A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.71%) . The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result Eintracht Frankfurt Draw Heidenheim 54.71% ( 0.33) 22.53% ( -0.14) 22.76% ( -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.28% ( 0.24)
57.72% ( 0.43) 42.28% ( -0.43)
35.32% ( 0.43) 64.68% ( -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
84.62% ( 0.26) 15.38% ( -0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.82% ( 0.49) 44.17% ( -0.49)
67.69% ( 0.08) 32.31% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.18% ( 0.09) 68.81% ( -0.09)
Eintracht Frankfurt 54.71%
Heidenheim 22.76%
Draw 22.53%
Eintracht Frankfurt Draw Heidenheim 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.71% 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.53% 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.76%
How you voted: Frankfurt vs Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
Heidenheim
28
rhs 2.0
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