MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 18:13:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Heidenheim

B. Leverkusen
4 - 1
Heidenheim

Okoh Boniface (9', 74' pen.), Hofmann (63'), Adli (82')
Palacios (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dinkci (58')
Theuerkauf (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Hacken
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Heidenheim

Leverkusen have already beaten RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach, as well as holding Bayern to a draw at the Allianz, so another three points will be the order of the day here against newly-promoted opposition. Heidenheim have scored eight in their last three games though, including two away at Dortmund, so Leverkusen can not take them lightly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHeidenheim
50.35% (1.563 1.56) 23% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.64% (-1.564 -1.56)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-1.376 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (-1.228 -1.23)40.63% (1.23 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (-1.269 -1.27)63.01% (1.271 1.27)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (0.11 0.11)16.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.13% (0.19900000000001 0.2)45.86% (-0.198 -0.2)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-1.741 -1.74)28.3% (1.743 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-2.253 -2.25)64.02% (2.254 2.25)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 50.35%
    Heidenheim 26.64%
    Draw 23%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.492 0.49)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.472 0.47)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.255 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 26.64%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Heidenheim

Bayer Leverkusen
88.2%
Draw
7.8%
Heidenheim
3.9%
51
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2019 5.30pm
Round of 16
Heidenheim
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Dovedan (47'), Multhaup (72')
Dorsch (64')
Brandt (44')
Dragovic (77'), Baumgartlinger (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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