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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
25.35% ( -0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.01) | 51.21% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% ( 0.02) | 43.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% ( 0.02) | 66.15% ( -0.02) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% | 30.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0) | 67.24% ( -0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% ( 0.01) | 17.15% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.61% ( 0.02) | 47.38% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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