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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
44.76% ( -0.18) | 25.81% ( 0.02) | 29.43% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( -0) | 51.17% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0) | 73.01% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% ( -0.09) | 22.79% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% ( -0.13) | 56.5% ( 0.13) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( 0.12) | 31.71% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( 0.14) | 68.14% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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