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Dortmund logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Dortmund
Sunday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hoffenheim

 Both sides are likely to make plenty of changes given that they are performing strongly in the Bundesliga, with both managers also dealing with a significant amount of injuries at the moment. Dortmund clearly have greater squad depth to call upon, and we expect this to help them continue their excellent record against Hoffenheim in recent years, with the visitors woes in the DFB-Pokal set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.46% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
60.84% (-2.622 -2.62) 18.69% (0.743 0.74) 20.46% (1.878 1.88)
Both teams to score 68.12% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.23% (-0.70400000000001 -0.7)26.76% (0.703 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.81% (-0.9 -0.9)47.18% (0.898 0.9)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.23% (-0.755 -0.75)8.76% (0.755 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.9% (-1.872 -1.87)30.09% (1.872 1.87)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (1.19 1.19)25.33% (-1.191 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (1.607 1.61)60.11% (-1.607 -1.61)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.84%
    Hoffenheim 20.46%
    Draw 18.69%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-0 @ 5.4% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-2 @ 5.03% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.346 -0.35)
4-2 @ 3.06% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.17% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.233 -0.23)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-3 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 60.84%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.373 0.37)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.222 0.22)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 20.46%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
86.7%
Draw
9.3%
Hoffenheim
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Dortmund
Brandt (43')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
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2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
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3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
> Preview
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