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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Werder Bremen

 Werder Bremen continue to leak goals on a regular basis under Werner's tutelage, and that looks unlikely to change against one of Germany's strongest sides, especially with Stark and Pieper both likely to miss out through injury for the visitors. After coming through Werder Bremen's youth system before returning to enjoy four hugely successful years with the club, Fullkrug may be emotionally conflicted ahead of this fixture, but we still expect him to help fire Dortmund to a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
69.18% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 16.48% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 14.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.74% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)27.26% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.18% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.81% (0.073 0.07)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)7.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.101 -0.1)31.85% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.115 -0.12)68.29% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 69.18%
    Werder Bremen 14.34%
    Draw 16.48%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.76%
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.21%
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 16.48%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
84.9%
Draw
10.8%
Werder Bremen
4.3%
93
Head to Head
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> Preview
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> Preview
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Gameweek 12
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Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
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Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
0-2
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Zagadou (52'), Braut Haaland (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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