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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
47.74% ( 0.17) | 22.04% ( 0.16) | 30.21% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 66.4% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.57% ( -0.97) | 33.42% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.79% ( -1.12) | 55.21% ( 1.12) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( -0.3) | 14.55% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( -0.59) | 42.6% ( 0.59) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( -0.67) | 22.29% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% ( -1.01) | 55.74% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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