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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim have already frustrated Dortmund away from home this term, but they have since struggled in recent games on the road, losing each of their last four and conceding 11 goals in the process, and they head into Saturday's clash as major underdogs. Bayern, meanwhile, are enjoying an impressive run of form in the Bundesliga, largely thanks to the efforts of Kane in the final third, and we believe that the Bavarians will have few problems securing a comfortable win at the Allianz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
81.66% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1) 11.29% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 7.04% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.01% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)22.99% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.76% (-0.315 -0.31)42.24% (0.319 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)4.2% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.48% (-0.179 -0.18)17.51% (0.183 0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-0.111 -0.11)41.2% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)77.73% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.66%
    Heidenheim 7.04%
    Draw 11.29%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
3-0 @ 9.19% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 11.29%
1-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Heidenheim
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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