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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Bayern logo

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Bayern

Sontheimer (45+1'), Gaus (90+6')
Zeitz (10'), Sontheimer (72'), Gaus (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Karlsruher
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Saarbrucken 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's extensive list of unavailable players could ensure that Saarbrucken avoid the indignity of being thrashed inside their own stadium, but the visitors should still have far too much quality for their third division opponents to be able to handle. Tuchel will likely build around a strong defensive base of Matthijs de Ligt and Kim Min-jae while rotating wherever else he feels that he is able to do so, with the likes of Tel and Choupo-Moting always keen to impress when they receive rare starting opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Saarbrucken win it was 2-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
10.84% (0.582 0.58) 15.45% (0.489 0.49) 73.71% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)31.57% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)53.07% (0.828 0.83)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.543 0.54)40.06% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.491 0.49)76.71% (-0.48400000000001 -0.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (-0.363 -0.36)7.33% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.51% (-0.971 -0.97)26.49% (0.978 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 10.84%
    Bayern Munich 73.71%
    Draw 15.45%
SaarbruckenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.21% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 0.98% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.84%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.45%
0-2 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 8.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 5.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.98% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 73.71%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Bayern

Saarbrucken
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
Bayern Munich
84.2%
38
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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