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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Bayern

Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wiesbaden 2-3 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern Munich

Buoyed by last month's DFL-Supercup triumph, RB Leipzig will be confident of picking up another positive result against Bayern Munich, although the hosts will struggle to claim all three points as the free-scoring Bavarians aim to make amends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
28.74% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.91% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.127 -0.13)40.71% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (-0.13 -0.13)63.09% (0.129 0.13)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.142 -0.14)26.86% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.188 -0.19)62.17% (0.187 0.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.53% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 28.74%
    Bayern Munich 47.91%
    Draw 23.34%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 47.91%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
Draw
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
20.0%
Draw
35.7%
Bayern Munich
44.3%
70
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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