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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
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Borussia M'bach
1 - 2
Bayern

Itakura (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 0-4 Bayern Munich

 Having finished outside the top half in each of the last two seasons, Gladbach appear to be a club in decline, especially with their amount of injuries at present. As such, we believe that their unbeaten record against Bayern will come to a convincing end on Saturday, with Kane likely to be licking his lips at the prospect of adding to his impressive goalscoring tally already. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.19%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 20.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-3 (7.1%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
20.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 19.85% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 59.19% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.4% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.21% (0.2 0.2)31.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.68% (0.236 0.24)53.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.104 0.1)27.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.13 0.13)63.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.64% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51% (0.172 0.17)34.49% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 20.97%
    Bayern Munich 59.19%
    Draw 19.85%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 20.97%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.98% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 59.19%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Bayern

Borussia Monchengladbach
16.7%
Draw
10.6%
Bayern Munich
72.7%
66
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Lewandowski (18')
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
> Preview
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Borussia M'bach
5-0
Bayern
Kone (2'), Bensebaini (15', 21' pen.), Embolo (51', 57')
Zakaria (79')

Upamecano (46')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Bayern
Plea (10')
Stindl (57'), Hutter (86'), Neuhaus (90')
Lewandowski (42')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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