

Bayern4 - 2Monaco
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, August 2 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Bayern Munich 3-2 Monaco
Despite Monaco's superior match sharpness, they may be on the receiving end of a marginal defeat at the hands of Bayern. The goals have flowed in these teams' pre-season games, and a high-scoring affair could be on the cards yet again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Monaco |
57.39% (![]() | 20.25% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.12% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.57% (![]() | 53.42% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% (![]() | 11.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.42% (![]() | 35.58% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% (![]() | 62.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 8.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.68% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.8% Total : 22.36% |