MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:24:45| >> :60:33:33:
Bayern logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alpenbauer Sportpark
Monaco

Bayern
4 - 2
Monaco

Laimer (31'), Musiala (42'), Gnabry (45+2' pen.), Sane (68')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Minamino (29'), Ben Yedder (64' pen.)
Camara (57'), Magassa (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Bayern Munich and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-4 Bayern
Wednesday, August 2 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Monaco (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bayern Munich 3-2 Monaco

Despite Monaco's superior match sharpness, they may be on the receiving end of a marginal defeat at the hands of Bayern. The goals have flowed in these teams' pre-season games, and a high-scoring affair could be on the cards yet again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawMonaco
57.39% (-1.566 -1.57) 20.25% (0.395 0.4) 22.36% (1.169 1.17)
Both teams to score 65.03% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.12% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)31.88% (0.368 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.57% (-0.43 -0.43)53.42% (0.432 0.43)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.518 -0.52)11.14% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.42% (-1.152 -1.15)35.58% (1.154 1.15)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (0.756 0.76)26.81% (-0.755 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (0.983 0.98)62.11% (-0.983 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 57.39%
    Monaco 22.36%
    Draw 20.25%
Bayern MunichDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.93% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 57.39%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 2% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.25%
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.229 0.23)
0-1 @ 3.93% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Bayern vs Monaco

Bayern Munich
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Monaco
3.7%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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