Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia M'bach
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Plea (58' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Elvedi (54'), Reitz (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weghorst (60')
Tohumcu (50'), Akpoguma (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Hoffenheim

Although Gladbach have improved in recent weeks, they allowed 13 shots on their goal against Dortmund last week, with performances under Seoane's management still leaving plenty to be desired. Hoffenheim's results have dipped of late, but their away record has been extremely impressive this season, and we can envisage Matarazzo's side claiming a sixth win in seven matches on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Hoffenheim
49.58% ( 0.06)	21.95% ( -0.01)	28.46% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 65.46% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.85% (

-0)

34.15% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.97% (

-0)

56.03% (

0.01)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8% (

0.02)

14.2% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.08% (

0.04)

41.92% (

-0.03)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

-0.03)

23.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17% (

-0.05)

57.83% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 49.58%

Hoffenheim 28.46%

Draw 21.95%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.58%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.46%