MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:43:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Dortmund
4 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Sabitzer (30'), Fullkrug (32'), Bynoe-Gittens (45'), Malen (90+7')
Brandt (80')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Reitz (13'), Kone (28')
Weigl (54'), Kone (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Gladbach have been very kind opponents for Dortmund in recent years, as the hosts have won the last 10 meetings here, and the Foals have not shown enough this season to suggest they can end that run. Both sides have shown goalscoring form of late, and goals have been commonplace in this fixture too, as Dortmund have scored 49 in their last 15 home clashes with Gladbach, and the last three head-to-heads have produced 19 goals, with BVB winning the last two here by 6-0 and 5-2 scorelines. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
59.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 18.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 21.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 69.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)8.65% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.17% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.82% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.016000000000005 0.02)23.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)57.43% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 59.44%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 21.77%
    Draw 18.79%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-2 @ 3.19%
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.56%
4-3 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 7.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.79%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-1 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Borussia M'bach

Borussia Dortmund
89.4%
Draw
4.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
6.4%
47
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
5-2
Borussia M'bach
Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')
Nov 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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