Gladbach have been very kind opponents for Dortmund in recent years, as the hosts have won the last 10 meetings here, and the Foals have not shown enough this season to suggest they can end that run.
Both sides have shown goalscoring form of late, and goals have been commonplace in this fixture too, as Dortmund have scored 49 in their last 15 home clashes with Gladbach, and the last three head-to-heads have produced 19 goals, with BVB winning the last two here by 6-0 and 5-2 scorelines.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
Germany
Switzerland
Hungary
Scotland
Spain
Italy
Croatia
Albania
England
Denmark
Slovenia
Serbia
Austria
France
Netherlands
Poland
Romania
Belgium
Slovakia
Ukraine
Portugal
Turkey
Czech Republic
Georgia
