Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Holer (7'), Weisshaupt (70'), Grifo (90+6' pen.)
Lienhart (37'), Ginter (50')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Siebatcheu (25'), Plea (29'), Weigl (39' pen.)
Netz (79'), Weigl (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Heidenheim
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Freiburg have struggled to score goals this season, meaning that they will likely attempt to keep things tight at the back once again, but we expect Gladbach to travel with some confidence after securing back-to-back wins against Heidenheim. As such, we can envisage a low-scoring draw between two sides who are difficult to split in terms of quality, especially with both managers having plenty of injury headaches at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
46.99% ( 2.02)	22.2% ( -0.22)	30.81% ( -1.8)

Both teams to score 66.16% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.1% (

0.23)

33.89% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.25% (

0.26)

55.74% (

-0.26)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

0.81)

14.99% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.56% (

1.52)

43.43% (

-1.52)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

-0.89)

22.17% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42% (

-1.36)

55.57% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 46.99%

Borussia Monchengladbach 30.81%

Draw 22.2%

Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.99%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.34% Total : 30.81%