Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayern Munich
Augsburg's recent home record against Bayern bodes well ahead of Saturday's contest, but their 21-game run without keeping a clean sheet is a cause for concern when coming up against a Bavarian outfit who have scored in each of their last 21 Bundesliga away games.
The hosts have the ability to frustrate Bayern, but Tuchel's men will likely dominate proceedings at the WWK Arena and should have few problems outscoring their opponents en route to another important victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97% . A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%) , while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result Augsburg Draw Bayern Munich 13.76% ( 0.08) 16.27% ( 0.04) 69.97% ( -0.11)
Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.08)
72.45% ( 0) 27.55% ( 0)
51.82% ( 0) 48.18% ( 0)
67.22% ( 0.1) 32.79% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.65% ( 0.12) 69.35% ( -0.11)
92.9% ( -0.02) 7.1% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 74.11% ( -0.06) 25.89% ( 0.06)
Augsburg 13.76%
Bayern Munich 69.97%
Draw 16.27%
Augsburg Draw Bayern Munich 2-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 13.76% 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.33% 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.27% 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.97%
How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern
Augsburg
Draw
Bayern Munich
75
rhs 2.0
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