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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Augsburg |
57.91% ( -0.3) | 21.24% ( 0.16) | 20.84% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.26% ( -0.58) | 38.74% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.95% ( -0.61) | 61.04% ( 0.6) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.82% ( -0.28) | 13.17% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.12% ( -0.56) | 39.88% ( 0.56) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% ( -0.2) | 32.06% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% ( -0.23) | 68.53% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.91% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |