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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Undav (17'), Guirassy (75' pen.)
Stenzel (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen

 Werder Bremen were humbled by Leverkusen's dominance during their defeat last weekend, but things do not get much easier for them here with a trip to in-form Stuttgart. The hosts have already won two more matches than in each of the last two seasons. We can envisage them earning a 10th victory in 13 matches by dispatching Werder Bremen on Saturday, but it may be closer than expected. Both sides are better offensively than defensively, so it should be an entertaining clash at MHPArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
59.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.56% (0.0030000000000001 0) 19.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (0.026000000000003 0.03)37.12% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26%37.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.037999999999997 0.04)32.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.041 0.04)68.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 59.71%
    Werder Bremen 19.73%
    Draw 20.56%
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.65%
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 59.71%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.73%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

Stuttgart
85.4%
Draw
6.3%
Werder Bremen
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
0-2
Werder Bremen
Stage (59'), Ducksch (77')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Werder Bremen
2-2
Stuttgart
Fullkrug (4'), Burke (90+5')
Friedl (16'), Bittencourt (71'), Stark (83'), Ducksch (89')
Endo (38'), Wamangituka (77')
Kalajdzic (59'), Ito (71')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Stuttgart
1-0
Werder Bremen
Augustinsson (81' og.)
Forster (16')

Mohwald (12'), Eggestein (51')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Werder Bremen
1-2
Stuttgart
Selke (90+3')
Osako (25'), Chong (40'), Gross (65'), Selke (90+1')
Wamangituka (31' pen., 90+1')
Mavropanos (36'), Mangala (56'), Castro (58'), Wamangituka (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Werder Bremen
1-1
Stuttgart
Klaassen (45')
Moisander (83')
Zuber (2')
Kabak (57'), Zieler (82'), Donis (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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