Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Napoli
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin

Both teams will head into this contest with minimal confidence given their current losing streaks, but something has to give here for at least one of them. Ultimately, Union Berlin contain too much quality to keep losing games, having made incredible progress under Fischer's tutelage in recent years. Werder Bremen, on the other hand, would have expected to be in a relegation fight this season, and we think that they will narrowly fall to a fourth successive defeat at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Union Berlin
33.44% ( -0.07)	24.35% ( -0.01)	42.2% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 59.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

0.02)

43.2% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

0.02)

65.6% (

-0.01)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

-0.03)

25.12% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17% (

-0.05)

59.83% (

0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

0.04)

20.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

0.07)

53.15% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 33.44%

Union Berlin 42.2%

Draw 24.35%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.44%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.2%