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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Augsburg |
39.34% ( -0.35) | 22.71% ( -0.5) | 37.95% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 66.51% ( 2.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.65% ( 2.62) | 34.35% ( -2.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.74% ( 2.89) | 56.26% ( -2.89) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.86% ( 0.96) | 18.14% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.9% ( 1.62) | 49.1% ( -1.62) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( 1.55) | 18.76% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.85% ( 2.53) | 50.15% ( -2.53) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.48) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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