MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:18:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Augsburg logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Augsburg

Stark (39'), Ducksch (65')
Zetterer (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Demirovic (27'), Thorup (71'), Dorsch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 3 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Augsburg

Werder Bremen will be desperate to avoid another defeat, otherwise they will be left vulnerable to falling inside the bottom three positions after enduring a poor run of form. Augsburg, on the other hand, require a win to guarantee remaining in the top half of the table. Thorup's side have drawn 1-1 in their last two away trips, and we can envisage them sharing the spoils once again. This result would likely suit both teams, as it would stop the rot for the host while extending the visitors' unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
39.34% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35) 22.71% (-0.503 -0.5) 37.95% (0.848 0.85)
Both teams to score 66.51% (2.035 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.65% (2.618 2.62)34.35% (-2.619 -2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.74% (2.893 2.89)56.26% (-2.893 -2.89)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (0.964 0.96)18.14% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (1.621 1.62)49.1% (-1.622 -1.62)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (1.547 1.55)18.76% (-1.548 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85% (2.529 2.53)50.15% (-2.53 -2.53)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 39.34%
    Augsburg 37.95%
    Draw 22.71%
Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.175 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.613 -0.61)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 6.94% (0.189 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.201 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.87% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.17 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.19 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.068 0.07)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Augsburg

Werder Bremen
61.1%
Draw
22.2%
Augsburg
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
2-1
Werder Bremen
Beljo (5'), Maier (46')
Stage (16')
Sep 9, 2022 7.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (57'), Caligiuri (90' pen.)
Gikiewicz (45+1'), Richter (65'), Hahn (90+2')
Vargas (13')

Gross (42'), Moisander (90+2')
Gross (49')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Augsburg
2-1
Werder Bremen
Niederlechner (67'), Vargas (82')
Baier (76'), Max (88')
Jedvaj (23' og.)
Eggestein (48'), Toprak (66'), Bartels (69'), Bittencourt (74'), Selke (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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