The Match
Match Report
Harry Kane scores twice as Bayern Munich recover from a 1-0 first-leg defeat to beat Lazio in the Champions League last 16.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 Bayern
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Lazio |
69.01% ( 0) | 17.92% ( -0) | 13.07% |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0) | 37.7% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( 0) | 59.94% ( -0) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% | 9.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.21% ( 0) | 32.79% ( -0) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% | 40.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.79% ( 0) | 77.21% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich 69.01%
Lazio 13.07%
Draw 17.92%
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 4.79% 4-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.37% 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0)5-1 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 4.88% Total : 69.01% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.37% 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.92% | 1-2 @ 3.78% 0-1 @ 3.62% 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.07% |
How you voted: Bayern vs Lazio
Bayern Munich
72.3%Draw
14.8%Lazio
13.0%393
