Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio0 - 1AC Milan
The Match
Match Report
Second-half substitute Noah Okafor scores an 88th-minute winner as AC Milan beat eight-man Lazio in Serie A on Friday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
| 38.22% | 27.16% | 34.62% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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