MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:42:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Hernandez (25')
Hernandez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jesus (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli

 Though the teams are equal across their last 10 league meetings, with three wins apiece and four draws, Milan have held the upper hand over the past year and can expect to punish Napoli again. The reigning champions are still lacking cohesion, while their predecessors have recently clicked into gear. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
40.62% (-0.187 -0.19) 25.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 33.96% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.3 -0.3)47.95% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.275 -0.27)70.13% (0.27499999999999 0.27)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)23.41% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.33 -0.33)57.4% (0.328 0.33)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)27.09% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)62.47% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 40.62%
    Napoli 33.96%
    Draw 25.42%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.96%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
76.4%
Draw
14.3%
Napoli
9.3%
161
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
Politano (50'), Raspadori (63')
Natan (53'), Di Lorenzo (65'), Zanoli (86')
Natan (89')
Giroud (22', 31')
Reijnders (55'), Romero (62'), Musah (78')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Napoli
1-1
AC Milan
Osimhen (90+3')
Giroud (43')
> Match Report
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
> Match Report
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
AC Milan
1-2
Napoli
Giroud (69')
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!