Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 3AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan
Everything points to a Milan win at the Castellani, where they have never been beaten in Serie A. With Empoli consistently coming up short in the final third, the Rossoneri should stride to victory and keep within striking distance of both Inter and Juve. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
23.83% ( 0.1) | 24.33% ( 0.37) | 51.84% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
