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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Empoli logo

Torino
1 - 0
Empoli

Zapata (25')
Linetty (45+4'), Bellanova (71'), Buongiorno (80'), Vlasic (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cacace (81'), Luperto (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Lecce
Monday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Empoli

A goal-fest should not be expected in Saturday's late kickoff, as both teams are far from prolific and average less than one goal per game. Instead, a single strike may decide matters, with the hosts most likely to produce it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawEmpoli
56.97% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 24.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.11%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)51.52% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 56.96%
    Empoli 18.41%
    Draw 24.61%
TorinoDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 14.26%
2-0 @ 11.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 18.41%

How you voted: Torino vs Empoli

Torino
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Empoli
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 20
Empoli
2-2
Torino
Luperto (37'), Marin (69')
Ricci (82'), Sanabria (85')
Oct 9, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Torino
1-1
Empoli
Lukic (90')
Destro (49')
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Empoli
1-3
Torino
Zurkowski (56')
Pinamonti (19'), Henderson (51'), Andreazzoli (62'), Stojanovic (75')
Verre (59'), Stojanovic (86')
Belotti (78' pen., 87', 90+6')
Vojvoda (18'), Lukic (29'), Juric (30')
Dec 2, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Torino
2-2
Empoli
Pobega (10'), Pjaca (15')
Aina (50'), Juric (54')
Singo (32')
Romagnoli (34'), La Mantia (72')
Bandinelli (45+1'), Marchizza (57'), Luperto (90+4')
May 19, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 37
Empoli
4-1
Torino
Acquah (27'), Brighi (65'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Caputo (88')
Farlas (71')
Falque (56')
Berenguer (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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