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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fiorentina logo

Empoli
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, February 14 at 6pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite trailing their regional rivals by 16 points before kickoff, momentum will certainly be on Empoli's side this weekend. They may lack a clinical centre-forward, but Fiorentina still find a way to score most weeks so could still walk away with one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
25.11% (-0.366 -0.37) 25.36% (-0.201 -0.2) 49.52% (0.562 0.56)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (0.512 0.51)52.05% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (0.44 0.44)73.78% (-0.44399999999999 -0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)35.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)72.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.45 0.45)21.04% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.698 0.7)53.83% (-0.702 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 25.11%
    Fiorentina 49.51%
    Draw 25.35%
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.11%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.1% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.73% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.51%

How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina

Empoli
41.4%
Draw
22.4%
Fiorentina
36.2%
58
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
1-0
Empoli
Gonzalez (58')
Torreira (56')

Luperto (45+3'), Ismajli (81')
Luperto (57')
Nov 27, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
Empoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (87'), Pinamonti (89')
Tonelli (65')
Vlahovic (57')
Torreira (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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