Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
33.66% ( 0.02) | 25.83% ( 0.02) | 40.5% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.2% ( -0.07) | 49.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( -0.06) | 71.8% ( 0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( -0.02) | 28.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( -0.03) | 63.86% ( 0.03) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( -0.05) | 24.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% ( -0.06) | 58.66% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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