Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
30.41% (![]() | 26.38% (![]() | 43.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.96% (![]() | 53.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% (![]() | 74.62% (![]() |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.03% (![]() | 31.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% (![]() | 68.42% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% (![]() | 24.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% (![]() | 58.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 8.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 12.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 10.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |