Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
48.34% | 26.55% | 25.1% |
Both teams to score 47.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.44% | 56.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% | 77.54% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% | 23.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% | 38.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% | 74.86% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |