Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma4 - 0Brighton
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Match Report
Roma put one foot in the quarter-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion in the first leg of their last-16 tie in Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Brighton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
42.34% ( 0.22) | 24.29% ( 0) | 33.36% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.04% ( -0.07) | 42.96% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( -0.07) | 65.36% ( 0.08) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( 0.07) | 20.44% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( 0.1) | 52.89% ( -0.1) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( -0.16) | 25.06% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( -0.23) | 59.74% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Roma 42.34%
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.36%
Draw 24.29%
Roma | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.36% |
How you voted: Roma vs Brighton
Roma
77.9%Draw
12.5%Brighton & Hove Albion
9.6%353
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 23:12:45
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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