Roma

1 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.