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La Liga
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
San Mames Barria
Valencia logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Valencia

Prados (45')
Prados (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mir (23'), Mosquera (26'), Foulquier (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia

 Athletic would have been disappointed to take just one point from their first two matches, but they are usually a force to be reckoned with at San Mames, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to condemn Valencia to a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
57.48% (1.071 1.07) 24.63% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 17.88% (-1.004 -1)
Both teams to score 43.61% (-1.438 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (-1.018 -1.02)56.74% (1.021 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.825 -0.82)77.69% (0.82700000000001 0.83)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.022999999999996 0.02)19.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.65% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.28% (-1.805 -1.81)45.72% (1.807 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.49% (-1.448 -1.45)81.51% (1.451 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 57.48%
    Valencia 17.88%
    Draw 24.63%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 57.48%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.88%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia

Athletic Bilbao
81.6%
Draw
13.6%
Valencia
4.9%
103
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Duro (61')

Williams (56'), Vivian (90'), Ares (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valencia
De Marcos (32'), Berenguer (90+7')
Paredes (12'), Garcia (55'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')
Perez (62'), Duro (68')
Amallah (57')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Castillejo (17')
Williams (30'), Sancet (72')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
De Marcos (43' og.)
Muniain (35'), Williams (45'), Vesga (74' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Valencia
Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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