MX23RW : Monday, September 9 21:44:30| >> :60:2667:2667:
Aston Villa logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Villa Park
Athletic Bilbao logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Ramsey (4'), Philogene-Bidace (60'), Archer (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alvarez (25'), Guruzeta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly between Aston Villa and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Following some experimentation in the States, Aston Villa are now set to take their final pair of friendlies seriously, as a new Premier League season nears. In Athletic Club, though, the Villans will face tough opposition, so they may have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.38% (0.113 0.11) 24.77% (0.026 0.03) 34.84% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.132 -0.13)44.83% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.128 -0.13)67.18% (0.129 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)25.08% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.193 -0.19)59.77% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.38%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.84%
    Draw 24.77%
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.38%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Athletic Bilbao

Aston Villa
56.4%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
23.6%
55
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City33009279
2Liverpool33007079
3Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32106247
4Arsenal32105147
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
7Aston Villa32014406
8Bournemouth31205415
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31203215
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs31116334
11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
16Crystal Palace301225-31
17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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