MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:32:50| >> :60:431:431:
Aston Villa logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Villa Park
Athletic Bilbao logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Ramsey (4'), Philogene-Bidace (60'), Archer (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alvarez (25'), Guruzeta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly between Aston Villa and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: America 1-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 Following some experimentation in the States, Aston Villa are now set to take their final pair of friendlies seriously, as a new Premier League season nears. In Athletic Club, though, the Villans will face tough opposition, so they may have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.38% (0.113 0.11) 24.77% (0.026 0.03) 34.84% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.132 -0.13)44.83% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.128 -0.13)67.18% (0.129 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)25.08% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.193 -0.19)59.77% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.38%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.84%
    Draw 24.77%
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.38%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Athletic Bilbao

Aston Villa
56.4%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
23.6%
55
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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