MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 22:44:18| >> :60:17:17:
Aston Villa logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Villa Park
Athletic Bilbao logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Ramsey (4'), Philogene-Bidace (60'), Archer (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alvarez (25'), Guruzeta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly between Aston Villa and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Following some experimentation in the States, Aston Villa are now set to take their final pair of friendlies seriously, as a new Premier League season nears. In Athletic Club, though, the Villans will face tough opposition, so they may have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.38% (0.113 0.11) 24.77% (0.026 0.03) 34.84% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.132 -0.13)44.83% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.128 -0.13)67.18% (0.129 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)25.08% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.193 -0.19)59.77% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.38%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.84%
    Draw 24.77%
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.38%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Athletic Bilbao

Aston Villa
56.4%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
23.6%
55
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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