MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:51:50| >> :60:77:77:
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Aston Villa logo

America
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Club America and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Club America 2-2 Aston Villa

Although they have a head start in terms of match-fitness, America have been vulnerable at the back since returning to action; therefore, an Aston Villa squad featuring several fresh faces - but still missing some international stars - can finish their US trip with a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
49.76% (-0.411 -0.41) 23.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 26.9% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.07 -0.07)41.94% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.07 -0.07)64.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.178 -0.18)17.01% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.318 -0.32)47.13% (0.321 0.32)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.215 0.22)28.79% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.267 0.27)64.64% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Club America 49.76%
    Aston Villa 26.9%
    Draw 23.33%
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 49.76%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: America vs Aston Villa

Club America
13.0%
Draw
17.4%
Aston Villa
69.6%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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