MX23RW : Wednesday, September 4 22:21:09| >> :60:71:71:
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Du Marasquer
Aston Villa logo

Spartak Trnava
0 - 3
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bailey (38'), Rogers (53'), Archer (90')
Carlos (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Spartak Trnava and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartak Trnava 5-0 Podbrezova
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Aston Villa
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Aston Villa

Spartak Trnava are much further ahead in their preparations, and this has the potential to be a tricky match for Villa. However, we are expecting Emery's side to triumph in order to make it back-to-back successes in their opening two pre-season fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Spartak TrnavaDrawAston Villa
36.39% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 25.32% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 38.29% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.59% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)47.14% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.38% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.28% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)24.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-0.055 -0.05)58.6% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Trnava 36.39%
    Aston Villa 38.29%
    Draw 25.31%
Spartak TrnavaDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.29%

rhs 2.0
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1Manchester CityMan City33009279
2Liverpool33007079
3Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32106247
4Arsenal32105147
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
7Aston Villa32014406
8Bournemouth31205415
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31203215
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs31116334
11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
16Crystal Palace301225-31
17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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