MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:49:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cash (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Joao Pedro scores a late winner to fire Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
46.41% (1.128 1.13) 22.75% (-0.229 -0.23) 30.83% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 64.1% (0.365 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (0.682 0.68)36.59% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.74 0.74)58.74% (-0.744 -0.74)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (0.68600000000001 0.69)16.22% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (1.241 1.24)45.72% (-1.243 -1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)23.48% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.285 -0.29)57.5% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.41%
    Aston Villa 30.83%
    Draw 22.75%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.83%

How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
14.0%
Draw
14.0%
Aston Villa
71.9%
242
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton
Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!