Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.41% ( 1.13) | 22.75% ( -0.23) | 30.83% ( -0.9) |
Both teams to score 64.1% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.41% ( 0.68) | 36.59% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.25% ( 0.74) | 58.74% ( -0.74) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( 0.69) | 16.22% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% ( 1.24) | 45.72% ( -1.24) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.19) | 23.48% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.49% ( -0.29) | 57.5% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Fulham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
> Premier League Full Table |