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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cash (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Joao Pedro scores a late winner to fire Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
46.41% (1.128 1.13) 22.75% (-0.229 -0.23) 30.83% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 64.1% (0.365 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (0.682 0.68)36.59% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.74 0.74)58.74% (-0.744 -0.74)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (0.68600000000001 0.69)16.22% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (1.241 1.24)45.72% (-1.243 -1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)23.48% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.285 -0.29)57.5% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.41%
    Aston Villa 30.83%
    Draw 22.75%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.83%

How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
14.0%
Draw
14.0%
Aston Villa
71.9%
242
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton
Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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