MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:11:28| >> :120:6353:6353:
Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Olympiacos

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Olympiacos

Watkins (45+1'), Diaby (52')
Diaby (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
El Kaabi (16', 29', 56' pen.), Hezze (67')
Fortounis (83')

The Match

Match Report

A hat-trick from Ayoub El Kaabi helps Olympiacos record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final on Thursday night.

Team News

Unai Emery makes three changes to his Aston Villa XI for the Europa Conference League semi-final first leg against Olympiacos.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawOlympiacos
39.23% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 23.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 36.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (0.023000000000003 0.02)40.73% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (0.022999999999996 0.02)63.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)20.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (0.047000000000004 0.05)53.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.13% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.012 -0.01)55.51% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 39.23%
    Olympiacos 36.81%
    Draw 23.96%
Aston VillaDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.81%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Olympiacos

Aston Villa
84.2%
Draw
7.5%
Olympiacos
8.3%
240
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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