MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 18:13:26| >> :120:7115:7115:
Olympiacos
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
3 - 2
Fenerbahce

Fortounis (8'), Jovetic (32'), Chiquinho (57')
Retsos (67'), Masouras (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tadic (68' pen.), Kahveci (74')
Kahveci (22'), Fred (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Olympiacos 1-1 Fenerbahce

We see these two sides on a relatively level playing field and anticipate a tight and entertaining two-legged encounter as they fight for a semi-final spot in Europe's tertiary competition. While Olympiacos will be desperate to make the most of the home advantage, we see their visitors having enough to take the tie to the second meeting in Turkey on level terms with everything still to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawFenerbahce
41.84% (0.040000000000006 0.04) 25.22% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 32.94% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.106 -0.11)47.27% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)69.5% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.51% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)56.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)27.39% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.113 -0.11)62.86% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 41.84%
    Fenerbahce 32.94%
    Draw 25.21%
OlympiacosDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.84%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce

Olympiacos
Draw
Fenerbahce
Olympiacos
45.2%
Draw
25.0%
Fenerbahce
29.8%
124
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
1-0
Fenerbahce
Tiquinho (90')
Ba (39'), Tiquinho (90')

Pelkas (90')
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
Group Stage
Fenerbahce
0-3
Olympiacos

Valencia (42'), Zajc (72')
Tiquinho (6'), Masouras (63', 68')
Reabciuk (38'), Abou Cisse (42'), Ba (45')
rhs 2.0
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