Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Olympiacos3 - 2Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lamia 1-5 Olympiacos
Sunday, April 7 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, April 7 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-2 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Wednesday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Olympiacos 1-1 Fenerbahce
We see these two sides on a relatively level playing field and anticipate a tight and entertaining two-legged encounter as they fight for a semi-final spot in Europe's tertiary competition. While Olympiacos will be desperate to make the most of the home advantage, we see their visitors having enough to take the tie to the second meeting in Turkey on level terms with everything still to play for. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Fenerbahce |
41.84% ( 0.04) | 25.22% ( 0.02) | 32.94% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.11) | 47.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.1) | 69.5% ( 0.1) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( -0.02) | 22.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.92% ( -0.04) | 56.08% ( 0.04) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.09) | 27.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.14% ( -0.11) | 62.86% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Olympiacos 41.84%
Fenerbahce 32.94%
Draw 25.21%
| Olympiacos | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.94% |
How you voted: Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce
Olympiacos
45.2%Draw
25.0%Fenerbahce
29.8%124
Form Guide
