We said: Olympiacos 2-1 Ferencvaros
With Olympiacos without a permanent manager, Ferencvaros will sense an opportunity to cause a surprise in Greece. Nevertheless, this remains a quality side on the back of their January transfer business, leading us to predict a hard-earned home victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.