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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton

Brownhill (74')
Cullen (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muric (79' og.)
O'Mahony (90+7'), Veltman (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

A late own goal from Burnley goalkeeper Arijanet Muric sees the Clarets draw 1-1 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.425 -0.42) 23.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 44.14% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (-0.335 -0.34)40.32% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.347 -0.35)62.69% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.408 -0.41)24.48% (0.415 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)58.92% (0.589 0.59)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (0.045000000000002 0.05)49.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.14%
    Draw 23.65%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brighton

Burnley
16.7%
Draw
24.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
58.9%
90
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-1
Burnley
Adingra (77')
Odobert (45')
O'Shea (14'), Taylor (66'), Odobert (72'), Redmond (86')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
0-3
Burnley

Duffy (84')
Weghorst (21'), Brownhill (40'), Lennon (69')
Cork (25'), Roberts (59'), Lennon (61'), Brownhill (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 6, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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