The Match
Match Report
Dominic Calvert-Lewin scores the only goal of the match as Everton record a 1-0 victory over 10-man Burnley at Goodison Park on Saturday afternoon.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Everton
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Burnley |
56.52% ( 0.03) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 20.12% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( -0.01) | 49.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( -0.01) | 71.13% ( 0) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0) | 17.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.6% ( 0.01) | 47.39% ( -0.02) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% ( -0.03) | 38.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.57% ( -0.03) | 75.43% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Everton 56.51%
Burnley 20.12%
Draw 23.36%
| Everton | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.12% |
How you voted: Everton vs Burnley
Everton
46.1%Draw
40.2%Burnley
13.7%102
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Apr 6, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Form Guide
