La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 3
Girona

Pepelu (84' pen.)
Foulquier (26'), Correia (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Savio (32'), Dovbyk (58'), Gasiorowski (67' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia
Thursday, May 16 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, May 14 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is shaping up to be a fascinating clash, and Valencia will fancy their chances at home despite their recent run of form. Girona are already guaranteed a top-four spot, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a close match on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Girona
35.39% ( -0.07)	27.75% ( 0.01)	36.86% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.53% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.66% (

-0.05)

57.34% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

-0.04)

78.16% (

0.03)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.07)

30.79% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.08)

67.07% (

0.08)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12% (

0.01)

29.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

0.01)

65.97% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Valencia 35.38%

Girona 36.86%

Draw 27.75%

Valencia	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.38%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.86%