Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
43.35% ( 0.26) | 29.58% ( -0.2) | 27.07% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 40.99% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.6% ( 0.56) | 65.4% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.83% ( 0.39) | 84.17% ( -0.39) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.43) | 30.1% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.51) | 66.24% ( -0.51) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.64% ( 0.28) | 41.36% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.13% ( 0.24) | 77.87% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |