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La Liga
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Alaves logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Alaves

Guruzeta (32', 37')
Williams (54'), Garcia (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benavidez (80'), Abqar (86'), Blanco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves

 Alaves deserve huge praise for their performance level this season, and the visitors certainly have the ability to make this an uncomfortable match for Athletic. The hosts need to keep winning to stay in the top-four picture, though, and we are backing them to secure all three points on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
55.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 24.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 19.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)55.54% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)52.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.103 -0.1)42.6% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-0.087 -0.09)78.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.04%
    Alaves 19.96%
    Draw 24.99%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.04%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.96%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Athletic Bilbao
91.2%
Draw
7.7%
Alaves
1.1%
91
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2024 8pm
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2-0
Alaves
Villalibre (28', 60')

Benavidez (71'), Marin (90')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Alaves
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Kike (45+1'), Garcia (61'), Abqar (78')
Williams (18'), Sancet (76')
Berenguer (29'), Berchiche (31')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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