La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 0
Alaves

Budimir (76')
Torro (16'), Herrando (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vicente (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams are set to be missing some important players on Monday through injury, but we are still expecting it to be a tight match between two sides in good form. Osasuna have home advantage, but Alaves are not losing many at the moment, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Alaves
42.91% ( -0.03)	29.73% ( 0.01)	27.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 40.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.27% (

-0.02)

65.73% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.6% (

-0.02)

84.4% (

0.02)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

-0.03)

30.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

-0.03)

66.73% (

0.03)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

41.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

77.82% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 42.91%

Alaves 27.35%

Draw 29.72%

Osasuna	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.72%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.35%