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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo logo

Alaves
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Simeone (48'), Guridi (54'), Benavidez (86')
Duarte (19'), Blanco (22'), Sivera (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (21'), Mingueza (85'), Alvarez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo

Alaves have only lost six of their 16 home league matches this season, and this will not be an easy game for Celta. The Sky Blues have won five of their last six meetings in Spain's top flight, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
43.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 27.8% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)58.97% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.012 -0.01)79.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)36.27% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.023 -0.02)73.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.34%
    Celta Vigo 28.86%
    Draw 27.8%
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.86%

How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

Alaves
34.9%
Draw
30.2%
Celta Vigo
34.9%
43
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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