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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Sociedad logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Guevara (62'), Abqar (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pacheco (59')
Merino (80'), Pacheco (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Sociedad

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Real Sociedad

 Alaves have impressed this season, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Sunday evening against a Real Sociedad outfit that have had their problems of late. The visitors have won their last two, though, and we are expecting a third straight success for Alguacil's side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
29.2% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 30.12% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 40.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.72% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)66.25% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.24% (0.051 0.05)84.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09)40.05% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.7% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.07% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 29.2%
    Real Sociedad 40.68%
    Draw 30.11%
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 12.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.11%
0-1 @ 14.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.68%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Sociedad

Alaves
19.8%
Draw
18.5%
Real Sociedad
61.7%
81
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
Zubimendi (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+2'), Fernandez (71'), Traore (74'), Sadiq (90+11'), Oyarzabal (90+7')
Remiro (36')
Rioja (76' pen.)
Rebbach (50'), Omorodion (59'), Sivera (87'), Kike (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Real Sociedad
1-0
Alaves
Zubimendi (70')
Illarramendi (21')

Laguardia (27')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Alaves
1-1
Real Sociedad
Joselu (58' pen.)
Laguardia (54'), Mendez (60'), Rioja (90')
Januzaj (14')
Zubeldia (56'), Silva (67'), Januzaj (85')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Real Sociedad
4-0
Alaves
Isak (41', 49', 62'), Portu (73')
Merino (51'), Illarramendi (54'), Bautista (85')

Garcia (52'), Pina (61')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
Alaves
0-0
Real Sociedad
Lejeune (42')
Battaglia (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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